Burton Swifts vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burton Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1896 |
MAC
1 - 1
BUR
68%
17%
14%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1896 |
BUR
0 - 7
LIV
27%
23%
50%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1896 |
NOT
5 - 0
BUR
69%
17%
14%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1896 |
DAR
3 - 0
BUR
70%
16%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1896 |
BUR
4 - 1
MUD
31%
24%
45%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1896 |
POR
1 - 1
LEI
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1896 |
POR
0 - 1
LIN
55%
21%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1896 |
MAC
1 - 0
POR
71%
16%
13%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1896 |
POR
0 - 2
ARS
31%
24%
45%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1896 |
POR
0 - 1
MAC
25%
21%
54%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |