Burton Albion vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 2
SHE
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
STA
2 - 1
BUR
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SOU
0 - 1
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 1
POR
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 1
STF
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
EXE
1 - 1
PLY
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
PLY
0 - 1
CRE
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
GIL
3 - 0
PLY
55%
26%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
PLY
0 - 2
AFC
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
PLY
1 - 4
ROT
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |