Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
GIL
1 - 3
BUR
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 1
BUR
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
BUR
4 - 1
CRE
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
ROT
3 - 1
BUR
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
WYC
2 - 1
BUR
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 0
OPA
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 0
MOR
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
MKD
1 - 0
AFC
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
BOR
2 - 0
AFC
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Dec. 2021 |
OXF
3 - 0
AFC
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |