Burreli vs Besa Kavajë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
41.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
7º
12º
8º
38
6º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burreli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
APO
3 - 0
BUR
66%
20%
13%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 2
LUS
36%
27%
36%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
VOR
3 - 1
BUR
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 0
KRU
23%
28%
49%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BYL
1 - 0
BUR
68%
20%
11%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
BES
0 - 1
ELB
89%
8%
3%
|
48 | 16 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KOR
2 - 0
BES
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
APO
1 - 1
BES
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
BES
4 - 3
LUS
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VOR
4 - 2
BES
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |