Burnley vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2005 |
BBU
2 - 1
BUR
75%
16%
8%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
PNE
1 - 0
BUR
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
DER
1 - 1
BUR
55%
24%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
BUR
0 - 0
BBU
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
CRE
1 - 1
BUR
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
SUN
2 - 1
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
SUN
4 - 1
ROT
72%
19%
9%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
BHA
2 - 1
SUN
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
SUN
4 - 2
WAT
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
WOL
1 - 1
SUN
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |