Burnley vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
DER
0 - 0
BUR
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
BUR
2 - 1
MKD
52%
25%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BUR
3 - 1
SHW
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 2
BUR
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
BUR
3 - 5
EVE
27%
27%
46%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
REA
1 - 2
EVE
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BRI
0 - 2
REA
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
REA
0 - 1
DER
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
REA
5 - 1
IPS
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 3
REA
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |