Burnley vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
BUR
1 - 2
LUT
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
LIN
1 - 1
BUR
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1999 |
MIL
1 - 2
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
BUR
1 - 2
CHE
47%
28%
26%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
BRO
3 - 4
BUR
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
REA
0 - 1
WAL
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
NOT
1 - 1
REA
48%
26%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1999 |
YOR
1 - 1
REA
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
REA
0 - 6
BRO
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
REA
4 - 0
WRE
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |