Burnley vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1976 |
PLY
0 - 1
BUR
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
NTT
5 - 2
BUR
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
BUR
4 - 4
CHA
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
BUR
3 - 3
LEY
74%
18%
9%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
SHE
1 - 0
BUR
49%
24%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1976 |
OLD
1 - 0
NTT
49%
27%
25%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
OLD
2 - 2
BOL
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
CHL
4 - 3
OLD
69%
20%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
OLD
2 - 1
MIL
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
NOT
1 - 0
OLD
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |