Burnley vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
BUR
1 - 1
BRA
78%
13%
9%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
POR
0 - 0
BUR
43%
23%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1931 |
BUR
2 - 2
BAR
82%
11%
7%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1931 |
BRI
1 - 1
BUR
31%
25%
43%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1931 |
BUR
2 - 2
PLY
81%
11%
8%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
OLD
2 - 1
PLY
74%
15%
11%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1931 |
OLD
2 - 2
WBA
42%
23%
35%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
BCF
1 - 3
OLD
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1931 |
POR
2 - 0
OLD
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1931 |
OLD
1 - 3
BRI
73%
16%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |