Burnley vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
29.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1909 |
BUR
3 - 3
BRA
82%
11%
7%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
WOL
2 - 1
BUR
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1909 |
BUR
2 - 3
MUD
21%
23%
56%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1909 |
BUR
1 - 2
BOL
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1909 |
BUR
3 - 1
TOT
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
OLD
1 - 0
FUL
56%
20%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1909 |
STO
1 - 3
OLD
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1909 |
OLD
2 - 0
GAI
82%
11%
7%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1909 |
BIR
2 - 0
OLD
65%
18%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1909 |
OLD
2 - 0
WBA
49%
22%
29%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |