Burnley vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
SWI
3 - 1
BUR
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
DER
1 - 2
BUR
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
LEI
2 - 1
BUR
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BUR
5 - 2
POS
63%
21%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 3
BHA
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 2
BHA
46%
28%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 2
CAR
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
HUL
4 - 1
MIL
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MIL
3 - 1
MID
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SHW
3 - 2
MIL
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |