Burnley vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
BOL
2 - 1
BUR
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
POS
2 - 2
BUR
41%
24%
36%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
BUR
1 - 2
BIR
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
MIL
0 - 2
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
BUR
1 - 0
CRY
44%
26%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
CRY
4 - 1
MID
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
MID
1 - 0
LEE
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MID
2 - 3
BAR
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
IPS
4 - 0
MID
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MID
2 - 1
ALD
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |