FA Cup Previa 1
Global 5-1
Burnham vs Shrivenham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SHR
1 - 1
BUR
9%
14%
77%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
BUR
1 - 3
WHY
17%
21%
62%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
BUR
1 - 0
NOR
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
LEV
1 - 4
BUR
57%
20%
23%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
BUR
0 - 0
CHE
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Shrivenham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SHR
1 - 1
BUR
9%
14%
77%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
HOL
3 - 2
SHR
48%
22%
31%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
SHR
0 - 2
CHA
12%
17%
71%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
HOL
1 - 1
SHR
47%
21%
32%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
SHR
1 - 1
HOL
35%
22%
43%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |