Burnham vs Chalfont St Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.4%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.3%
3.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BUR
1 - 5
FLA
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BUR
5 - 1
EGH
41%
22%
36%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BED
3 - 2
BUR
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
W&C
1 - 1
BUR
20%
19%
62%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
EDT
1 - 2
BUR
31%
21%
47%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chalfont St Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 5
ARD
12%
18%
69%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
FLA
3 - 0
CHA
81%
13%
7%
|
13 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 3
WAE
31%
23%
46%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 0
CHA
67%
17%
16%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
RAY
4 - 3
CHA
83%
11%
7%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |