Burnham vs Chalfont St Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2013 |
BUR
7 - 0
WOD
87%
10%
3%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 6
BUR
25%
24%
51%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
SLO
2 - 0
BUR
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
GUI
0 - 3
BUR
31%
23%
47%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 3
BIG
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Chalfont St Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 1
GUI
48%
23%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 2
CHA
35%
24%
42%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 2
ROY
24%
23%
53%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 3
BEA
40%
24%
37%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 3
BAR
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |