Burnham vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
BUR
0 - 2
BRA
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
HAN
1 - 3
BUR
28%
24%
49%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BUR
1 - 0
THA
49%
23%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2006 |
CHE
5 - 2
BUR
51%
23%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
OXF
3 - 1
BUR
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 0
HAN
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
BAS
4 - 1
UXB
65%
20%
16%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2006 |
TAU
3 - 2
BAS
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 0
NEW
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
BAS
4 - 0
BRA
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |