Burlingame Dragons vs Fresno Fuego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
46.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burlingame Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 1
BDR
42%
23%
36%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
EFS
0 - 0
BDR
40%
22%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
FRE
4 - 0
BDR
67%
18%
15%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
TUC
3 - 2
BDR
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
FRE
2 - 3
BDR
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Fresno Fuego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2017 |
FRE
4 - 1
MAQ
83%
10%
7%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
FRE
4 - 0
BDR
67%
18%
15%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
FRE
2 - 3
BDR
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 2
FRE
15%
21%
64%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
BDR
2 - 1
FRE
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |