Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Burgos vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
LAN
2 - 1
BUR
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 1
TOR
74%
18%
8%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SDA
1 - 3
BUR
20%
26%
54%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
BUR
2 - 0
CDH
73%
19%
9%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
PON
1 - 2
BUR
23%
26%
51%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
LAN
2 - 1
BUR
46%
25%
30%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
LAN
3 - 1
VER
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
RSI
2 - 0
LAN
21%
24%
55%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LAN
2 - 0
UDT
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SDT
1 - 0
LAN
18%
23%
59%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -1 |