Burgos vs Tudelano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.8%
10.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
ALA
1 - 1
BUR
60%
19%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
BUR
3 - 3
SDE
67%
17%
16%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
SSC
3 - 0
BUR
51%
21%
29%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
2 - 1
BUR
53%
20%
27%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
BUR
2 - 2
OSA
41%
22%
37%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Tudelano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
TUD
2 - 1
MAE
48%
21%
31%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
GIM
1 - 0
TUD
81%
11%
8%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
MIR
4 - 1
TUD
57%
20%
23%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
TUD
3 - 2
ALA
52%
20%
28%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
SDE
5 - 0
TUD
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -2 |