Burgos vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 1
BUR
34%
31%
35%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
UDC
2 - 2
BUR
30%
31%
39%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
CDT
1 - 1
BUR
35%
31%
34%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
BUR
1 - 0
TAL
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
CUL
0 - 0
BUR
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
RMC
2 - 0
MAJ
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
CFP
2 - 1
RMC
24%
26%
50%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
RMC
3 - 3
SSR
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 1
RMC
28%
27%
46%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
RMC
2 - 1
ALC
66%
20%
15%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |