Burgos vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
23.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1980 |
TRJ
1 - 1
BUR
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
GDE
0 - 0
BUR
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
BUR
1 - 0
AGD
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
SAB
1 - 5
BUR
45%
27%
27%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
BUR
1 - 1
ELC
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1980 |
MAN
1 - 1
RMC
21%
27%
52%
|
72 | 37 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
RMC
4 - 1
RAC
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
REC
2 - 0
RMC
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
RMC
3 - 0
LIN
73%
17%
9%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
CAS
0 - 0
RMC
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |