Burgos vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
BUR
0 - 1
PUE
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1970 |
OVI
1 - 1
BUR
58%
21%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
RCF
5 - 1
BUR
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
BUR
1 - 1
ATH
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
SLA
0 - 0
BUR
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
OVI
1 - 0
ONT
59%
25%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1970 |
OVI
1 - 1
BUR
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
PUE
0 - 0
OVI
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
OVI
2 - 1
RCF
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1970 |
CFC
0 - 0
OVI
33%
25%
43%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |