Burgos vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
BUR
45%
27%
29%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
BUR
0 - 1
GIM
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
BUR
2 - 1
COX
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CDO
3 - 1
BUR
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
BUR
5 - 2
UDL
56%
24%
21%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
OVI
2 - 0
AVI
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
AVI
4 - 0
SPB
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
RCF
2 - 2
AVI
55%
23%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
AVI
4 - 0
CEL
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
COM
0 - 0
AVI
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |