Burgos vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
ELC
2 - 1
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
BUR
1 - 0
MUR
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
ESP
3 - 2
BUR
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
CDO
3 - 1
BUR
30%
29%
41%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
BUR
2 - 1
RAY
50%
26%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
LUG
3 - 0
LEN
88%
9%
3%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
DEP
3 - 0
LUG
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
LUG
5 - 0
TUR
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1970 |
LUG
4 - 2
GIM
55%
23%
23%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
LUG
4 - 0
SPB
83%
12%
5%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |