Burgos vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
21.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
BUR
0 - 1
CEL
17%
25%
58%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
NOV
0 - 3
BUR
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
BUR
1 - 1
GRA
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
ATM
1 - 1
BUR
83%
13%
4%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
BUR
0 - 1
MUR
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
HER
2 - 1
VIL
16%
23%
62%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
LLE
1 - 0
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
ORI
0 - 0
HER
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
HER
3 - 0
LLE
54%
23%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2002 |
BAR
1 - 0
HER
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |