Burgos vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1978 |
BUR
2 - 0
REC
73%
16%
11%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
RAC
1 - 1
BUR
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1978 |
REC
3 - 2
BUR
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
BUR
2 - 1
CAD
66%
20%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1977 |
TAL
3 - 3
BUR
26%
29%
46%
|
76 | 40 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1978 |
HER
1 - 1
SPO
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
HER
2 - 3
RMA
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1978 |
SPO
1 - 0
HER
64%
19%
18%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
ESP
2 - 1
HER
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1977 |
GIR
2 - 1
HER
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |