Burgos vs Juventud Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.4%
5.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
BUR
5 - 0
IZA
67%
17%
16%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
SDE
1 - 1
BUR
52%
21%
27%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
BUR
3 - 1
CLH
79%
12%
9%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
SDI
5 - 2
BUR
70%
16%
14%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
REC
2 - 2
BUR
55%
21%
25%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
JRS
2 - 2
BAS
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
IZA
3 - 0
JRS
73%
14%
13%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
JRS
0 - 0
SSC
57%
20%
23%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
SDE
3 - 3
JRS
70%
16%
14%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
RUN
4 - 1
JRS
52%
21%
27%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -2 |