Burgos vs CD Aurrera Vitoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
24.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
GIM
3 - 1
BUR
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
BUR
1 - 2
ZAR
51%
27%
22%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
IZA
0 - 0
BUR
22%
28%
50%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
RUN
1 - 0
BUR
30%
30%
40%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
BUR
1 - 1
RUN
61%
24%
15%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
AUR
1 - 0
BIN
52%
27%
21%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
CLH
1 - 0
AUR
38%
28%
33%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
AUR
2 - 0
AMU
41%
29%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
FIG
0 - 1
AUR
29%
29%
42%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
AUR
2 - 0
CLH
45%
28%
27%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |