Burgos vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1962 |
BUR
2 - 1
RAC
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
SDI
2 - 1
BUR
79%
13%
8%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
BUR
2 - 0
SAB
54%
22%
25%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 1962 |
RAC
1 - 0
BUR
85%
10%
5%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
RSO
2 - 0
BUR
84%
11%
6%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
PUL
3 - 0
CEL
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
CUL
2 - 5
PUL
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
PUL
1 - 0
BAS
72%
16%
13%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
SLA
2 - 0
PUL
58%
21%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
PUL
5 - 0
SPO
61%
21%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |