Burgos vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
26.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 0
BUR
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
BUR
4 - 0
LEG
18%
28%
55%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
VAD
1 - 0
BUR
75%
18%
7%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2021 |
BUR
2 - 2
SDA
46%
29%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
GIR
3 - 1
BUR
68%
22%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
LEG
1 - 0
ALC
66%
23%
12%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 0
MIR
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
IBI
6 - 2
ALC
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 1
MAL
34%
29%
38%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
HUE
0 - 0
ALC
67%
22%
11%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |