Burgos U19 vs Unión Adarve U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
11º
8º
35
6º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
RMJ
0 - 3
BCF
47%
23%
30%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BCF
3 - 0
MOS
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LRZ
1 - 1
BCF
41%
23%
37%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
COL
0 - 4
BCF
11%
17%
72%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BCF
3 - 0
BUD
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Adarve U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
UAD
3 - 0
GET
28%
24%
48%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ATM
4 - 2
UAD
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
UAD
0 - 0
DIO
21%
21%
58%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UAD
0 - 4
ATM
8%
15%
77%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 0
UAD
22%
23%
56%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |