Sporting Burgo vs Hercules SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
23.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Burgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
UCA
4 - 4
BUR
36%
23%
40%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BUR
5 - 3
PAS
59%
20%
21%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 2
BUR
40%
23%
37%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SME
2 - 2
BUR
55%
22%
24%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
BUR
3 - 0
BLE
49%
22%
29%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hercules SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
HER
1 - 0
BLE
33%
23%
44%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SBE
6 - 1
HER
42%
22%
36%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
HER
1 - 1
CEC
33%
23%
44%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SIG
1 - 3
HER
51%
22%
27%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
HER
0 - 3
SUE
26%
22%
52%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |