Sporting Burgo vs Atlético dos Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.9%
17.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Burgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
VIO
0 - 0
BUR
25%
20%
56%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
BUR
3 - 1
ENC
77%
14%
10%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
PCA
2 - 4
BUR
34%
22%
45%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BUR
4 - 1
ABE
58%
19%
23%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ESP
3 - 2
BUR
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético dos Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
7 - 1
CCO
56%
18%
26%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
LIC
2 - 2
CAS
38%
22%
40%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
CDC
17%
19%
65%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAS
58%
18%
23%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 3
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |