Burgan vs Al-Tadhamon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
45.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
4º
4º
26
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
12 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
BUR
2 - 2
ALS
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
ALS
1 - 3
BUR
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
YAR
1 - 0
BUR
67%
19%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 2
ALS
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
BUR
2 - 2
ALS
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Tadhamon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 0
ALS
87%
9%
4%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ALS
1 - 1
ALT
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ALS
3 - 0
ALT
53%
23%
25%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ALT
2 - 0
ALJ
30%
24%
45%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
ALT
2 - 2
ALN
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |