Buochs vs SC Emmen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
22%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
5º
14º
8º
36
1º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 2
BUO
35%
21%
44%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BUO
1 - 1
LOC
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
BRU
1 - 1
BUO
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BUO
2 - 0
FCC
31%
22%
48%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 0
BUO
34%
21%
44%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SC Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LOC
4 - 2
SCE
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SCE
1 - 2
FCC
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
ZOF
2 - 0
SCE
52%
21%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SCE
4 - 0
LUZ
50%
21%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
RSZ
0 - 0
SCE
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |