Buochs vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BUO
1 - 1
AAR
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
BUO
1 - 1
LUG
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
FCB
1 - 4
BUO
15%
21%
64%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BUO
1 - 0
SAR
78%
15%
8%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
MAL
1 - 1
BUO
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SAR
3 - 2
SAR
19%
22%
59%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
SAR
5 - 1
LSS
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
KUS
1 - 2
SAR
24%
23%
53%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
SAR
0 - 0
FCS
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
GOL
1 - 2
SAR
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |