Buochs vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
51.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
14º
11º
67
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FCC
2 - 1
BUO
55%
20%
25%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
BUO
4 - 0
HER
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FCC
3 - 2
BUO
27%
21%
51%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BUO
1 - 3
ASC
48%
22%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
BRU
1 - 3
BUO
40%
23%
37%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MEN
5 - 3
FCS
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
ESC
0 - 4
MEN
11%
19%
70%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
LUZ
1 - 1
MEN
24%
24%
53%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
MEN
5 - 2
IBA
76%
15%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MEN
6 - 0
FCC
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |