Buochs vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.8%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
2%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.1%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
11.5%
84.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.5%
0-3
14.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
18.9%
0-4
9.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
-4
11.7%
0-5
5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BUO
1 - 2
WOH
22%
20%
58%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
FCK
5 - 1
BUO
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BUO
1 - 2
BAS
32%
23%
46%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
FCC
1 - 4
BUO
46%
21%
33%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +3 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BUO
0 - 4
SOL
19%
21%
61%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -3 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FCL
1 - 1
GCZ
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
FCL
1 - 1
LAU
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SER
4 - 1
FCL
41%
26%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
FCL
14%
19%
66%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
FEY
3 - 0
FCL
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |