Buochs vs Kickers Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
32.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
5º
14º
8º
15
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GOL
2 - 1
BUO
33%
20%
47%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
ESC
0 - 2
BUO
9%
14%
78%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
BUO
2 - 2
MEN
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FCC
2 - 1
BUO
55%
20%
25%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
BUO
4 - 0
HER
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
LUZ
5 - 0
IBA
64%
20%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ESC
2 - 5
LUZ
15%
20%
66%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
LUZ
1 - 1
MEN
24%
24%
53%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
LUZ
3 - 1
HER
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 0
LUZ
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |