Buochs vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
14º
11º
31
7º
12º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LUZ
0 - 2
BUO
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BUO
2 - 2
ESC
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MEN
3 - 1
BUO
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BUO
1 - 2
FCC
20%
20%
61%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
HER
1 - 0
BUO
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
IBA
3 - 0
PER
34%
24%
42%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
FCS
3 - 0
IBA
57%
21%
22%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
IBA
2 - 1
LUZ
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
IBA
0 - 5
ASC
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ESC
1 - 4
IBA
22%
22%
56%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |