Buochs vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+93%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
BUO
4 - 1
HOC
74%
15%
11%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
IBA
1 - 0
BUO
20%
21%
59%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
BUO
0 - 5
STG
6%
14%
80%
|
38 | 78 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
BUO
1 - 1
MAL
86%
10%
5%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
BUO
2 - 0
SCH
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
HER
0 - 1
ZOF
24%
22%
53%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
KUS
1 - 1
HER
22%
20%
57%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
HER
4 - 2
RUS
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
IBA
4 - 0
HER
37%
24%
40%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
HER
1 - 3
HOC
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |