Buochs vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
15.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
GUN
1 - 3
BUO
20%
20%
60%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
TAV
5 - 1
BUO
16%
18%
66%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -3 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
BUO
4 - 1
RUS
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SUH
1 - 3
BUO
10%
15%
75%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
GCB
0 - 3
BUO
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
HER
0 - 2
TAV
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
RUS
2 - 2
HER
40%
22%
37%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 3
HER
17%
18%
65%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
ASC
3 - 2
HER
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
HER
4 - 2
ESC
40%
23%
37%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |