Buochs vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
FCA
1 - 3
BUO
22%
22%
56%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
BUO
1 - 2
IBA
71%
18%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
BUO
4 - 0
FCS
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
SCH
5 - 3
BUO
24%
22%
54%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BUO
3 - 0
LSS
57%
22%
22%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
AAR
1 - 1
FCS
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
SCH
1 - 3
AAR
25%
23%
53%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
AAR
2 - 0
LSS
67%
19%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
OLT
0 - 1
AAR
29%
23%
47%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
AAR
1 - 0
LUZ
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |