Bundaberg Spirit vs NQ Razorbacks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
60.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bundaberg Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
BSF
0 - 2
SUN
11%
17%
73%
|
12 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
WMF
2 - 2
BSF
54%
21%
26%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
BSF
0 - 3
BRI
10%
16%
74%
|
14 | 49 | 35 | -2 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
BSF
1 - 2
CCA
29%
23%
49%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
BSF
3 - 4
QAS
29%
23%
49%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
NQ Razorbacks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
CCA
4 - 1
NQR
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
NQR
2 - 4
SUN
18%
20%
61%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
QAS
2 - 2
NQR
37%
24%
40%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
NQR
1 - 1
WMF
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
NQR
1 - 1
FNQ
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |