Big Bullets vs MAFCO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Big Bullets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BUL
0 - 3
AZT
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
EPA
2 - 1
BUL
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SIL
0 - 1
BUL
53%
24%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
MWF
2 - 1
BUL
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
BUL
1 - 0
BLU
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
MAFCO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
RED
0 - 1
MAF
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
MAF
0 - 3
SIL
47%
25%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
MAF
1 - 0
EMU
46%
25%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
COB
1 - 2
MAF
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
AZT
0 - 0
MAF
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |