Big Bullets vs Kamuzu Barracks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Big Bullets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BUL
0 - 0
CIV
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
MZU
0 - 0
BUL
59%
21%
19%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MOY
1 - 0
BUL
51%
25%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BUL
1 - 3
SIL
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
BLU
0 - 2
BUL
48%
26%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kamuzu Barracks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
KAM
2 - 4
MAF
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
KAM
0 - 0
MTL
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
MAF
0 - 1
KAM
49%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
KAM
3 - 2
EVI
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
KAM
1 - 1
AZT
53%
24%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |