Big Bullets vs ES Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
59.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2004 |
OLY
0 - 0
ETO
39%
30%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
ETO
1 - 1
CLU
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2004 |
ESB
0 - 1
ETO
28%
29%
43%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
ETO
2 - 1
ESP
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2004 |
ETO
3 - 0
CAB
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |