Bulleen Lions vs Fawkner Blues analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulleen Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
BUL
2 - 3
MEL
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
NGW
0 - 2
BUL
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
BUL
0 - 1
GRE
22%
21%
57%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
OAK
2 - 2
BUL
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
BUL
2 - 2
SOU
11%
15%
73%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Fawkner Blues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
FAB
3 - 1
MUF
73%
16%
12%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
FAB
0 - 1
GRE
18%
25%
57%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -9 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
PLI
4 - 1
FAB
77%
16%
8%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
FAB
1 - 0
AIS
26%
25%
49%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +3 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
OAK
2 - 1
FAB
69%
19%
12%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |