Bulle vs Grünstern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FAR
1 - 4
BUL
11%
17%
72%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BUL
3 - 1
OST
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
TPA
1 - 2
BUL
19%
21%
60%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
BUL
3 - 0
LYS
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
THI
2 - 1
BUL
23%
21%
56%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Grünstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
GRU
1 - 0
BUM
31%
22%
48%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GRU
2 - 0
POR
53%
22%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FAR
2 - 3
GRU
34%
24%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GRU
2 - 0
OST
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
TPA
2 - 2
GRU
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |