Bulgaria U21 vs Portugal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
48.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
BGR
0 - 2
ENG
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
BGR
1 - 2
MNE
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
BGR
1 - 4
BEL
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
BEL
1 - 1
BGR
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
BGR
2 - 1
CRO
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
POR
4 - 0
MNE
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
IRL
0 - 2
POR
21%
24%
55%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
POR
3 - 0
MLT
82%
13%
6%
|
75 | 40 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
POR
0 - 0
ITA
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
ISR
0 - 4
POR
27%
24%
49%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |